Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 12.215323 14.019566 15.948241 18.157652 20.612782 23.251347 26.295478
2025-09-28 9.619155 12.032229 14.790604 18.155154 22.125105 26.636583 32.126085
2025-10-05 8.263043 11.030930 14.357059 18.603799 23.833233 30.011526 37.807521
2025-10-12 7.230094 10.209064 13.944673 18.900108 25.220215 32.925613 42.934620
2025-10-19 6.350754 9.440002 13.466357 18.992643 26.261433 35.368213 47.494903
2025-10-26 5.433052 8.494774 12.638291 18.514624 26.472854 36.700889 50.637378
2025-11-02 4.718860 7.740279 11.976275 18.168516 26.781284 38.108431 53.863238
2025-11-09 4.109154 7.062326 11.346249 17.791848 26.984907 39.337357 56.847538
2025-11-16 3.604036 6.481623 10.795210 17.465878 27.207063 40.559933 59.822915
2025-11-23 3.118850 5.875254 10.146902 16.936426 27.085324 41.271994 62.089692
2025-11-30 2.842912 5.576696 9.937002 17.031996 27.849228 43.220641 66.099734
2025-12-07 2.590812 5.289463 9.716814 17.086620 28.538175 45.067814 70.004281
2025-12-14 2.386728 5.067803 9.588744 17.281095 29.452560 47.284217 74.528483
2025-12-21 2.166250 4.791889 9.346954 17.273335 30.048195 49.046234 78.444247
2025-12-28 2.043942 4.684426 9.378393 17.703941 31.332223 51.855401 83.952119
2026-01-04 1.909224 4.537584 9.327492 17.988429 32.387979 54.345218 89.047414
2026-01-11 1.757921 4.340313 9.169709 18.077278 33.124616 56.363183 93.483339
2026-01-18 1.546656 3.994472 8.712846 17.618329 32.940029 56.948269 95.764195
2026-01-25 1.374887 3.709976 8.344468 17.286082 32.938869 57.802997 98.459774
2026-02-01 1.218174 3.437731 7.975164 16.924551 32.863105 58.524698 100.954050
2026-02-08 1.083460 3.197117 7.646037 16.611726 32.847952 59.330119 103.584422
2026-02-15 0.943894 2.924797 7.228364 16.103716 32.464213 59.517536 105.234913
2026-02-22 0.873843 2.813229 7.131192 16.195407 33.131442 61.428711 109.653107